Lempert, Robert J., Steven W. Popper and Steven C. Bankes. Shaping the Next One Hundred Years: New Methods for Quantitative, Long-Term Policy Analysis. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2003. http://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1626. Abstract: A sophisticated reader ought to view with great skepticism the prospect of answering questions about the long-term future. The…

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