Confronting Climate Uncertainty in Water Resources Planning and Project Design : The Decision Tree Framework

The Decision Tree Framework described in this book provides resource-limited project planners and program managers with a cost-effective and effort-efficient, scientifically defensible, repeatable, and clear method for demonstrating the robustness of a project to climate change. At the conclusion of this process, the project planner will be empowered to confidently…

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“Embedding (Some) benefit-cost concepts into decision support processes with deep uncertainty (2015)”

Lempert, R. (2015). Embedding (some) benefit-cost concepts into decision support processes with deep uncertainty. Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis, 5(3), pp. 487-514. Retrieved 23 Jan. 2016, from doi:10.1515/jbca-2014-9006 http://www.degruyter.com/view/j/jbca.2014.5.issue-3/jbca-2014-9006/jbca-2014-9006.xml Benefit-cost analysis (BCA) aims to help people make better decisions. But BCA does not always serve this role as well as intended. In…

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Communicating uncertainty in seasonal and interannual climate forecasts in Europe (2015)

Andrea L. Taylor, Suraje Dessai, Wändi Bruine de Bruin Communicating uncertainty in seasonal and interannual climate forecasts in Europe. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A 2015 373 20140454; DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2014.0454 http://rsta.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/373/2055/20140454 Abstract: Across Europe, organizations in different sectors are sensitive to climate variability and change, at a range of temporal scales…

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“Managing Water Quality in the Face of Uncertainty: A Robust Decision Making Demonstration for EPA’s National Water Program (2015)”

Fischbach, Jordan R., Robert J. Lempert, Edmundo Molina-Perez, Abdul Ahad Tariq, Melissa L. Finucane and Frauke Hoss. Managing Water Quality in the Face of Uncertainty: A Robust Decision Making Demonstration for EPA’s National Water Program. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2015. http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR720.html. Also available in print form. The U.S. Environmental…

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