Lempert, Robert J., Drake Warren, Ryan Henry, Robert W. Button, Jonathan Klenk and Kate Giglio. Defense Resource Planning Under Uncertainty: An Application of Robust Decision Making to Munitions Mix Planning. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2016. http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR1112.html. Also available in print form.
Robust decision making stress-tests plans over a wide range of plausible futures and identifies scenarios in which strategies do and do not meet their goals. It can help identify and evaluate adaptive strategies—ones designed to evolve over time—and can help decision makers use this information to develop more robust plans and evaluate the tradeoffs among them. One strategy investigated was shown to be robust over a wide range of plausible futures.
